What Can Home Buyers and Sellers Expect in 2019?
Louisiana Realtors • January 30, 2019
As quickly as 2018 ended, 2019 has arrived. And as with each new year, especially in the world of residential real estate, a lot more than just the calendar is expected to change. These expectations can mean a lot if you are planning to buy or sell a home in the coming months. So, just like you’d check the weather before making outdoor plans on the weekend, let’s look at a few things that are being forecast for the year ahead.
Mortgage Rates Will be on the Rise
While mortgage rates are still below the levels they reached during the recession, they will continue the steady climb we’ve seen over the past two years. However, rates will remain below average in spite of the strong economic environment we’re experiencing. By the end of 2019, 30-year fixed rate mortgages are expected to 5.8%
In Spite of Rising Rates, Home Sales to Millennials Will Increase
Even with mortgage rates on the rise, demand from Millennials will continue to increase. This surge will add to the growth of first-time homebuyers. 45% of home purchases are expected to be from Millennials, compared to 37% from Gen Xers, and 17% from Baby Boomers.
Inventory Will Improve
Compared to 2018 the increased demand from first-time buyers will be met by a slightly higher inventory level in 2019. The number of homes being put on the market and newly constructed homes increasing, combined with a slower pace of sales will improve inventory for home buyers.
Home Price Growth Will Slow
Another benefit for home buyers in 2019 will be a slow down in home price appreciation. This is a result of increasing inventory. Recent years have seen anywhere from a 5-10% increase in home prices. With buyers having more options, coupled with higher interest rates, price growth is expected to drop from 1-3%.
From the Louisiana Department of Insurance: During a press conference today with Governor Jeff Landry, Insurance Commissioner Tim Temple announced that registration for the next round of the Louisiana Fortify Homes Program (LFHP) will open at 8 a.m. on Monday, June 1, and will include 3,000 grants. The registration period for this lottery will be open for three weeks, closing at 5 p.m. on Friday, June 19. During the press conference, Gov. Landry signed HB 1187 by Rep. Paul Sawyer, which will allow Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation to transfer $50 million in additional Katrina bond assessment funds to the LFHP. Combined with the $30 million in funding the program will receive through taxes and fees on insurance entities, the LFHP will receive a total of $80 million this year. “By lowering overall losses, we can reduce insurance and reinsurance costs, draw more insurers into the market, motivate existing companies to write additional policies and lower insurance premiums,” said Commissioner Temple. “That is exactly what the Louisiana Fortify Homes Program is designed to do.” The list of coastal parishes that are eligible to participate is expanding to include Acadia, Jefferson Davis and Lafayette parishes. Additionally, homeowners who live in the portions of Ascension, Calcasieu, Iberia, Livingston, St. Martin, St. Tammany, Tangipahoa and Vermilion parishes that were previously not included in the program will now be eligible to participate. A map showing the full list of eligible parishes is available on FortifyHomes.La.Gov . “Louisiana is the fastest growing state in the country for Fortified roofs, and that growth is not by accident—it is the result of strong support from Governor Landry and legislators like Chairman Talbot, Chairman Firment and Representative Sawyer, targeted program design, and a clear recognition that strengthening homes is one of the most effective ways to reduce insurance losses,” said Commissioner Temple. “At the end of the day, this program is about more than just roofs. It is about protecting families, it is about strengthening communities, and it is about putting Louisiana in a stronger position—both physically and economically—to face the challenges ahead.” To participate in the lottery, homeowners must register during the June registration period. Homeowners who registered for a previous round but were not selected must register again to participate. People who register on the last day of the registration period have the same chance of being selected as those who register on the first day, so there is no need to rush to register as soon as the period opens. When registering, homeowners will need to upload their homestead exemption, insurance policy declarations page that includes wind coverage, and flood insurance declarations page if the residence is in a flood zone. Homeowners who need assistance obtaining a copy of their homestead exemption should contact their parish tax assessor. Homeowners can contact their homeowners and flood insurance companies or agents for a copy of their policy declarations page. Homeowners are required to create a profile in the LFHP system before registering for the lottery and may do so by visiting the LFHP website and clicking the Login button. Homeowners who previously created a profile may use the same one for this and future rounds. Once the lottery registration period closes, the LFHP will randomly select 3,000 participants and send email notifications to registrants about whether they were selected to participate. These selection notices will be sent via email beginning on Monday, June 22. There are several program requirements that homeowners should be aware of before registering. Those interested in the program are encouraged to review eligibility information and frequently asked questions at FortifyHomes.La.Gov to determine whether their home meets the requirements for the program. If selected to participate in the grant program, homeowners will be financially responsible for having the home evaluated by a FORTIFIED-certified Evaluator as well as costs for the roof upgrade including permits, inspections and construction costs beyond the amount of the grant The LFHP provides grants of up to $10,000 for homeowners to upgrade their roofs to standards set by the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety. The program helps Louisiana homeowners strengthen their roofs to better withstand hurricane-force winds.
Learn how to lower your debt-to-income ratio before buying a home in Louisiana and why working with an experienced real estate agent can help.
NAR is pleased to share the latest new consumer guide, “Overcoming Roadblocks to a Sale or Purchase,” which helps buyers and sellers prepare for the most common potential pitfalls so their transaction closes smoothly. As a reminder, all guides in this series are available for download—in both English and Spanish—on facts.realtor . Please allow up to two weeks for the Spanish version of the latest resource to be translated and uploaded. For ease of reference, below is a list of the most recent guides: NEW: Overcoming Roadblocks to a Sale or Purchase How Solar Impacts a Real Estate Transaction Navigating Interest Rate Shifts Financing a Renovation When You Buy Staging Your House for a Sale Thank you for your continued engagement with the “Consumer Guide” series and for sharing the resources with prospective clients to ensure they have the information they need to find success in their home buying or selling journey. Remember that these guides are for informational purposes only and are not meant to enact or change any existing NAR policy. On June 3, we’ll have a new consumer guide on unpacking after a move and a refreshed guide in the value of MLS.
