What Can Home Buyers and Sellers Expect in 2019?
Louisiana Realtors • January 30, 2019
As quickly as 2018 ended, 2019 has arrived. And as with each new year, especially in the world of residential real estate, a lot more than just the calendar is expected to change. These expectations can mean a lot if you are planning to buy or sell a home in the coming months. So, just like you’d check the weather before making outdoor plans on the weekend, let’s look at a few things that are being forecast for the year ahead.
Mortgage Rates Will be on the Rise
While mortgage rates are still below the levels they reached during the recession, they will continue the steady climb we’ve seen over the past two years. However, rates will remain below average in spite of the strong economic environment we’re experiencing. By the end of 2019, 30-year fixed rate mortgages are expected to 5.8%
In Spite of Rising Rates, Home Sales to Millennials Will Increase
Even with mortgage rates on the rise, demand from Millennials will continue to increase. This surge will add to the growth of first-time homebuyers. 45% of home purchases are expected to be from Millennials, compared to 37% from Gen Xers, and 17% from Baby Boomers.
Inventory Will Improve
Compared to 2018 the increased demand from first-time buyers will be met by a slightly higher inventory level in 2019. The number of homes being put on the market and newly constructed homes increasing, combined with a slower pace of sales will improve inventory for home buyers.
Home Price Growth Will Slow
Another benefit for home buyers in 2019 will be a slow down in home price appreciation. This is a result of increasing inventory. Recent years have seen anywhere from a 5-10% increase in home prices. With buyers having more options, coupled with higher interest rates, price growth is expected to drop from 1-3%.
Louisiana REALTORS® CEO Norman Morris issued the following statement after SpaceX announced plans to invest $100 billion in a new launch facility in Vermilion Parish. The project is expected to create 3,000 direct jobs and more than 8,100 indirect jobs across Acadiana. “SpaceX’s investment is an extraordinary economic win for Louisiana. We congratulate Governor Jeff Landry, Louisiana Economic Development Secretary Susan Bourgeois, Vermilion Parish leaders, and everyone who helped bring this historic project home. The housing and infrastructure improvements needed to support more than 11,000 new job opportunities should generate a huge economic boost to the Acadiana and Gulf Coast region. According to the National Association of REALTORS®, each typical Louisiana home sale generates approximately $88,600 in economic activity. Even if only half of the new SpaceX related jobs lead to a home purchase, the impact would generate nearly half a billion dollars across our state's economy. That improves our tax base and school systems, and ripples through our economy touching builders, bankers, hardware stores, appliance dealers, contractors and so many more. “Housing is not downstream of economic development; it is an essential infrastructure. Louisiana REALTORS® and our partners stand ready to help turn these new jobs into homes, stronger communities and lasting roots in Louisiana. Economic development creates jobs, but housing turns those jobs into homes. Let’s make Louisiana home again, together.” Economic-impact estimates are illustrative calculations by Louisiana REALTORS® using employment projections from Louisiana Economic Development and the National Association of REALTORS®’ estimated economic impact per typical Louisiana home sale. They are not forecasts or recurring annual-impact figures. Enjoy the video below from the Louisiana Department of Economic Development .
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